MLB picks
Philadelphia
Phillies · Away
Houston
Astros · Home
Model Picks
1Team Leaders
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-150) Projection 0.8 (Under)
Minute Maid Park has the league's 3rd-highest fences and its low altitude generally leads to lower offensive output, with the roof closed today making conditions -6° colder than the average outdoor game, favoring pitching, while Colton Gordon holds a platoon advantage against Kyle Schwarber, who pulls 40.2% of his flyballs towards the game's 9th-deepest right field fences.
AI Analysis
Otto Kemp u1.5 Total Bases (-180) Projection 0.9 (Under)
Otto Kemp is batting 6th in the lineup at Minute Maid Park, which features the league's 3rd-highest fences and is at low altitude, with the roof closed today, resulting in cooler conditions that favor pitching; Kemp has a high flyball rate to center field, which faces one of the deepest fences in MLB.
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-150) Projection 0.8 (Under)
Minute Maid Park, with the 3rd-highest fences and a near sea-level altitude, will have a closed roof today, making conditions -6° colder, which may benefit pitching, as Colton Gordon faces Kyle Schwarber who hits many flyballs towards the 9th-deepest right field fences.
AI Analysis
Otto Kemp u1.5 Total Bases (-180) Projection 0.9 (Under)
Otto Kemp is batting 6th in the lineup at Minute Maid Park, which has the league's 3rd-highest fences and a near sea-level altitude that typically results in lower offensive output, with the roof closed for this game making it -6° colder than average, while Kemp's flyballs often go to center field, which has MLB's 9th-deepest fences.
AI Analysis
Otto Kemp u1.5 Total Bases (-185) Projection 0.9 (Under)
Otto Kemp is batting 6th in the lineup for the game at Minute Maid Park, which has the league's 3rd-highest fences and low altitude, resulting in conditions that are -6° colder than average due to the closed roof, affecting offensive output and making it challenging for Kemp, who hits 38.4% of his flyballs to center field toward MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences.
AI Analysis
Otto Kemp u1.5 Total Bases (-185) Projection 0.9 (Under)
Otto Kemp is batting 6th in the lineup for the game at Minute Maid Park, which has the league's 3rd-highest fences and low altitude, while the closed roof will create cooler conditions -6° below average, affecting offensive output, and he tends to hit 38.4% of his flyballs to center field, facing the 9th-deepest CF fences.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+145) Projection 1.6 (Over)
Jeremy Pena is projected in the 96th percentile for batting average, is set to bat 1st today, and will face Zack Wheeler, while the Philadelphia Phillies have the 2nd-weakest infield defense.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+140) Projection 1.6 (Over)
Jeremy Pena is projected in the 96th percentile for batting average, is expected to bat 1st today, and faces a weak Philadelphia Phillies infield defense while playing at Minute Maid Park, known for its shallow LF fences.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+155) Projection 1.6 (Over)
The BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile for batting average, predicts him batting 1st in today's game, notes Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences, highlights that he performs better against extreme flyball pitchers like Zack Wheeler, and states the Philadelphia Phillies have the 2nd-weakest infield defense among today's teams.
AI Analysis
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+195) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Yainer Diaz is projected in the 96th percentile for batting average talent and will bat 4th today, facing the 2nd-weakest infield defense of the Philadelphia Phillies, while benefiting from home field advantage and a recent improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Victor Caratini o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160) Projection 1.5 (Over)
Victor Caratini, favored by the home field advantage and showing improved performance metrics, faces Zack Wheeler, an extreme groundball pitcher, while the Philadelphia Phillies have the 2nd-weakest infield defense today.
AI Analysis
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Yainer Diaz is projected in the 96th percentile for batting average talent, will bat 4th today, benefits from home field advantage, and has improved his exit velocity from 93.2 mph to 97.2 mph recently, while the Philadelphia Phillies have the 2nd-weakest infield defense.
AI Analysis
Colton Gordon o5.5 Hits Allowed
The Phillies rank in the Top-10 in offense against left-handed pitchers, while Astros SP Colton Gordon has permitted 44 hits in 35 2/3 innings, with the Over hitting in five of his seven games.
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Home Runs
Kyle Schwarber holds a Phillies-leading 1.077 OPS against left-handed pitchers and has hit 12 of his 24 home runs in same-sided matchups, while Astros SP Colton Gordon has allowed eight home runs in 35 2/3 innings.
AI Analysis
Nick Castellanos o0.5 Total Home Runs
Colton Gordon, who has allowed eight home runs in seven starts this season and has a .314 batting average against right-handed hitters, will be starting for the Astros.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.