Hart's scoring prop for Game 4 is set at 7.5 O/U after a decrease in minutes and scoring output, despite projections estimating he will score between 10.8 to 11.7 points and grab eight or more rebounds.

Siakam has recorded five, five, and four rebounds in the first three games of the series, with an average of 11.0 rebounding chances per game, and projections suggest he could record between 6.9 and 8.2 rebounds in Game 4.

The Pacers are intensively targeting Brunson defensively while exploiting his defensive weaknesses offensively, resulting in fatigue that affects his performance and contributing to projections suggesting his point total will fall short of 29.5 for Game 4.

The Pacers had offensive struggles in the second half of Game 3, but ShotQualityBets projected them to score 14 more points, and Haliburton is expected to see an increase in assists, averaging 20.4 ppg and 10.0 apg at home during the regular season and recording a double double in seven of 13 playoff games and 16 of his last 20 regular season games.

Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 21.1 points, 11.3 rebounds, and 1.1 assists in 15 playoff games, achieving at least 36 PRA in seven of those games, and has hit the Over in two of three games against the Pacers in the series, as well as in all three regular-season matchups.

T.J. McConnell averaged 15.9 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) in 17.9 minutes during the regular season and increased his PRA to 16.4 over 16 minutes in the playoffs, hitting the Over in nine of 13 postseason games.