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Model Picks
8Team Leaders
Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets
Player Props
7Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35+ points
+155 · Bet365
During the current playoff run, SGA has scored at least 35 points only once and has averaged 19.8 shot attempts per game, dropping to 18.6 over the last five games, compared to 21.8 during the regular season.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 8.5 2-pointers made
-125 · Bet365
SGA is shooting below 27% from three-point range in the series against Denver, averaging 4.3 attempts per game, while excelling in 2-point shooting with at least nine successful 2-point field goals in four of six games.
Lu Dort Over 8.5 points
-130 · Bet365
In the Round 2 finale, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander may rely on Luguentz Dort, who has exceeded an 8.5 scoring line in three previous home games against the Nuggets and scored at least 10 points in nine of his last 14 matches against them, averaging 9.5 points on 34.5% shooting in the series.
Nikola Jokic Under 38.5 points + assists
-110 · Bet365
Jokic's line for Sunday is set at 38.5 for points and assists, a figure he has only surpassed twice this series, while the Thunder have limited him to six or fewer assists in the first five games.
Jamal Murray 3+ threes
+135 · Bet365
Murray has recorded three triples in a game twice this series and is averaging 17.5 shot attempts, while Aaron Gordon's injury puts more pressure on him as Jokic's sidekick.
Thunder Team Total Under 111.5
-115 · Bet365
The Thunder have underperformed offensively in five of six games in their series, shooting 32.6% from deep while facing a lower-tier defense, indicating that their offensive strategy has been countered effectively by opponents.
Nikola Jokic Under 30.5 Points
-115 · Bet365
Nikola Jokic has scored 29 or fewer points in four of the six games in the series, as the Thunder prioritize defensive efforts by using Isaiah Hartenstein and Lu Dort, which may impact their offensive efficiency.
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